Carbon emissions from road freight are rising to the point where, by 2030, levels may well exceed those of passenger cars. We recommend policies that will help transition the heavy-duty auto sector to one that is emission-free. Through data-led analysis and sector-wide engagement, we find solutions that put fleet electrification within reach.
Transportation
We advocate for smart policies in the drive to a clean transportation future.
New policies could significantly reduce fleet emissions
Our recommendations would see commercial fleet emissions drop by up to 80% by 2050 relative to 2020 levels. (Pembina Institute modelling; see Canada’s Pathway to Net-Zero for Medium-and Heavy-Duty Trucks and Buses; Part 1: Zero-Emission Vehicles (2023))
Key numbers
22%
of Canada’s greenhouse gas emissions are generated by the transportation sector.
1.5 million
barrels of oil globally are avoided every day due to the increase in electric vehicles on the road.
100%
increase in road freight emissions in Canada since 1990.
Low-carbon fuel choices for road freight
Are low-carbon fuels a viable means of decarbonizing medium- and heavy-duty vehicles? If you’re a fleet owner or operator, here’s what you need to know.
Find out more.Research & Analysis
Why work on transportation?
Carbon-free transportation tomorrow means that change needs to happen today.
Canada’s expansive network of roads and highways are full of medium- and heavy-duty vehicles, transporting freight from A to B. This sector of the auto industry has grown significantly over the last 20 years and is now the second largest source of carbon pollution.
Our Transportation program has been following the trend. Reducing emissions from Canada’s second-largest source of carbon pollution will not only reduce oil demand, it will also improve air quality and benefit human health.
From policy to action
We push for strategies and policies that will make freight transportation emission-free. However, our work doesn’t end with a set of recommendations. Our team is solutions-oriented: implementation is our measure of success. We hold decision-making bodies to account and present solid analysis that will lead to a net-zero EV future.
Shifting away from emission-heavy vehicles requires knowledge sharing, raising awareness and behavioural change. That’s why we collaborate with governments, engage in stakeholder outreach, and establish industry partnerships. Bringing all parties to the table leads to meaningful changes on the ground.
Our research
Our research aims to accelerate this transition for the medium- and heavy-duty vehicle sector, and includes:
- Low-carbon fuels: Replacing combustion engine vehicles with battery-electric models is not a viable option for every kind of truck. As fleets transition to net-zero, the use of low-carbon fuels will decrease the sector’s carbon intensity.
- Community outreach: Raising awareness for small and under-resourced fleet operators so they can benefit from fleet electrification.
- Grid readiness: A successful transition to electrification requires sufficient charging and re-fuelling infrastructure, and an energy grid that can provide enough power to meet increased demand.
- Alternative transportation: In cities, the use of other modes of transportation (such as cargo e-bikes) can reduce air pollution and improve public health.
- Electric school buses: We are currently working with provinces across Canada to support the electrification of provincial school bus fleets.
This national network of businesses has come together to create and grow a low-carbon urban freight system. The coalition collectively employs more than 100,000 Canadians and operates more than 24,000 vehicles across the country, delivering goods to businesses and people.
The Pembina Institute’s Urban Freight Data Hub is a publicly accessible digital hub that amalgamates existing urban freight data from Canada’s largest cities and makes it easily available to city planners, policy practitioners, and researchers.
Spotlights on transportation solutions
ZeroX2040: A strategy to decarbonize medium- and heavy-duty vehicles
How can Canada transition medium- and heavy-duty fleets from fossil-fuel dependency to a carbon-neutral transportation system? With input from industry representatives, government decision-makers, and small-scale owners and operators, we developed our ZeroX2040 strategy offering a roadmap to an EV future. This series of reports and graphics includes policy recommendations to close planning gaps, reduce market uncertainties and address consumer hesitation.
Low-carbon fuels for heavy duty-trucks
Replacing internal combustion vehicles with battery-electric models is not a viable option for every kind of truck. In some cases, such as long-haul rigs, sustainable fuels — biodiesel, hydrogen and others — is the best alternative.
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It’s an exciting time to be working on clean transportation issues. Canada is reclaiming its reputation as a world-class leader in the automotive industry. As a first mover, Canada is fast becoming a strong competitor in the electric vehicle marketplace.
Meet Adam Thorn
Program Director, Transportation
Contact our transportation team
Program Director
Adam Thorn
c: 416-859-4108
e: adamt@pembina.org
Media Contact
Lejla Latifovic (Eastern Time)
c: 819-639-4185
e: lejlal@pembina.org
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