Pembina Institute

U.S. decision on Keystone XL pipeline took climate consequences into account

The Obama administration’s surprise decision to deny the proposed Keystone XL pipeline created quite the media storm yesterday, and for good reason.

In defending the decision, the president highlighted the risks the project could pose to “the health and safety of the American people and [to] the environment,” and the need to adequately review those concerns. And while a wide range of responses surfaced from the Republicans, Democrats, public opinion leaders and local interest groups, one story in particular caught our eye.

Canada argued to exclude oilsands climate impacts from decisionmaking

It turns out that while the U.S. government deliberated over the final decision for the Keystone XL pipeline, the Alberta government was unsuccessfully urging the U.S. to disregard the climate change impacts associated with expanding oilsands development to fill the pipeline.

Through Access to Information Legislation, Canadian reporter Mike de Souza obtained letters exchanged between Alberta Environment, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), and Canada's U.S. Ambassador Gary Doer. The correspondence shows Canada’s explicit lobbying efforts to persuade the U.S. to exclude climate change impacts from its final decision about the Keystone XL project.

However, the U.S. EPA pushed back and argued that the U.S. government should factor the entire footprint of oilsands pollution into the decision, since it affects its own citizens as well as the rest of the world:

"Given that the possible consequences of greenhouse gas emissions are global in nature...we believe it is appropriate that the State Department consider these upstream greenhouse gas emissions in its evaluation."
— EPA administrator
“Given that the possible consequences of greenhouse gas emissions are global in nature, they include potential impacts on the United States, and we believe it is appropriate that the State Department consider these upstream greenhouse gas emissions in its evaluation," EPA Administrator Lisa Jackson wrote on Dec. 7, 2010 in response to a letter from Doer.

Even Environment Canada agrees that "the oilsands are Canada's fastest growing source” of greenhouse gas emissions, and by no means is this growth insignificant. Over the last two decades, greenhouse gas pollution from the oilsands has grown by over 150 per cent. From 2005 to 2020, Environment Canada's number show, they're going to keep right on growing, tripling from 30 million tonnes in 2005 to 92 million tonnes in 2020.

The projected growth in greenhouse gas emissions is particularly concerning because — as the EPA recognizes — the climate is a global resource, and because countries around the world are taking significant steps to reduce their emissions while Canada is working hard to make sure emissions from this industry are allowed to continue rising.

There is a massive disconnect between Prime Minister Harper’s “profound disappointment” in Obama’s decision, the ongoing lobbying efforts by key diplomats and the climate change consequences of expanded oilsands development. This disconnect continues to put Canada’s reputation and economic competitiveness at significant risk.

Lessons for Canada

Today’s decision on the Keystone pipeline carries some important lessons for Canada:

  1. The federal government’s lobbying efforts and recent protests about “radical groups” hijacking our regulatory system in the case of the Enbridge Northern Gateway Project miss a key point that the EPA and others get: the environmental impacts of the Keystone XL, the Enbridge Gateway pipeline and the oilsands themselves are a shared, global concern. Pollution doesn’t stop at the border, which is why the development and transport of the oilsands are garnering international attention.
  2. Due public process is critical to making an informed decision. A thorough and fair analysis requires consideration of alternatives and willingness to not only hear, but act upon, the concerns of citizens. The federal government should welcome the input from the 4000-plus individuals who have signed up to participate in the Gateway community hearings, rather than making advance judgments about the validity of their concerns and publicly musing about the need for regulatory reform at the start of the hearings. (The only truly “radical” act of late is this attempt by the Harper government to undermine its own regulator, the National Energy Board!)
  3. Major decisions about complex energy production and infrastructure projects should never be considered  “no brainers”. Such decisions need to be made on the basis of a broad understanding of the issues and the public interest, not the private interests of oil companies.

The response of our government to the news about Keystone XL shows that Canada is a long way off from reconciling oilsands greenhouse emissions growth and our own national climate target. Whether we’re talking about Keystone XL or the proposed Gateway project, it's premature to start building additional pipeline capacity from the oilsands until we have a credible plan in place to responsibly manage the environmental impacts of oilsands production.

Let’s hope yesterday’s decision serves as an example for Canada to take the development of the oilsands as seriously as our neighbours to the south seem to.

Learn more about Climate Change.

Read more blogs relating to Climate Change, Oilsands, Alberta, Federal Action, Oil & Gas, Pipelines, USA.

Reality Check — Aug 12, 2012 - 10:59 AM MT

The crude is going to Texas one way or another. If not by pipe it will be by rail. A pipe spill is something that can be shut down and contained/cleaned. United States train and railroad accident statistics estimate that almost every 2 weeks a train derailment leads to a chemical spill.That's 26+ chemical spill derailments per year. So that said, there WILL be spills from this oil either way, but there will be MORE spills by rail, and there will be no new jobs from a pipeline if it goes by rail.

Between CN and CP Rail, 18,000 cars of approximately 600 barrels of crude were shipped by rail. CP alone expects that to go up to 70,000/year by 2014. That's 42 MILLION barrels of crude by rail, most of it going to Texas, and travelling over all these "environementally sensity areas.

Translation: blocking the pipeline doesn't stop the oil, it just increases the likelihood of spills and costs America billions of dollars in jobs and a strengthened economy.

It would be harder to stop oil going by rail than it would be to just let the pipeline be built. Building the XL pipeline means rebuilding America. The world is watching: Will America beg for a strong economy, or will Americans do sommething to build it?

http://www.calgaryherald.com/business/energy-resources/Pipeline+protests...

Hector — Feb 18, 2012 - 06:04 AM MT

3316 to raeelse the full amount of carbon in Canada's oil sands discussed by Hansen, blogged Andrew Leach, a University of Alberta business professor. If you want deep cuts to

Chip — Jan 22, 2012 - 01:24 PM MT

Climategate 1, ClimategateII, The Hockey Stick. Lies and more lies and junk science.

The CO2 link to "climate change" has been so thoroughly discredited now that the only reason governments are pretending to be interested is for nothing more than amusing the environutter vote.

make no mistake the whole AGW theory has crashed and politicians are just letting it fizzle away.

I suggest that you reorient your careers before you end up spending a life chasing a myth.

Bart R — Jan 23, 2012 - 12:23 AM MT

Thoroughly investigated and largely debunked Climategate 1, cynically manipulative and pointless Climategate 2, mathematically correct and never discredited (though certainly poorly thought out as an iconic figure) Hockey Stick simplification, lies from the GWPF, and junk CO2science?

http://prezi.com/ksgcnlldtgcl/reactionary-public-opinion-perverse-influe...

Chip, can you decide which side of the fence you're on?

CO2 emissions are just plain peeing in the collective well. It's proven the CO2 cycle doesn't recover from CO2 emissions at current rates, and so all of us suffer increasing risks for the profits of a few free riders suckling at the public's goodwill.

http://prezi.com/jpced0jg1chv/carbon-pricing/

As it appears you're a career counsellor, perhaps if you could share your credentials in that field, so we can weigh the merits of your dubious advice?

I'm an outdoorsman, as economically right-oriented as one can get, and bemused by your defense of subsidized industries at the expense of the free operation of the market to determine how people make their energy decisions.

Less slogans, Chip, please, and more meat.

http://prezi.com/es1vsjfeena3/the-durban-platform-on-climate-change/

Bart R — Jan 20, 2012 - 08:38 AM MT

It's not wrong to consider the GHG impacts of these pipeline proposals, or the health or safety issues (which if anything are underplayed) but it seems to miss the real point.

The projects are just plain bad business, and bad nation-building not in the best interest of Canada in and of themselves before Externalities and intangibles. They seem more a pipeline of taxpayer dollars to private corporate multinationals than anything else.

http://prezi.com/z4xy6ci5caow/gateways-to-self-destruction/

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